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icon for 亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名

亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名

icon for 亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名

亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名

愛德華多·布拉加 83%

卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托 11.5%

威爾森·利馬 2.5%

Plinio Valério 1.8%

Polymarket

$37,564 交易量

愛德華多·布拉加 83%

卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托 11.5%

威爾森·利馬 2.5%

Plinio Valério 1.8%

Polymarket

$37,564 交易量

icon for 愛德華多·布拉加

愛德華多·布拉加

$20,019 交易量

83%

icon for 卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托

卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托

$6,663 交易量

12%

icon for 威爾森·利馬

威爾森·利馬

$3,513 交易量

3%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$3,517 交易量

2%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$600 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉

埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉

$563 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊斯梅爾·穆杜魯庫

伊斯梅爾·穆杜魯庫

$915 交易量

<1%

icon for 教授伊凡妮

教授伊凡妮

$858 交易量

<1%

icon for 薩薩·杜·亞馬遜斯

薩薩·杜·亞馬遜斯

$916 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga holds a commanding lead in the Amazonas Senate race for first place, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 25-50% in stimulated scenarios for the two seats up for election on October 4. His incumbency, prior governorship, and broad support across Manaus and the interior underpin the market's 82.5% pricing, reflecting trader assessments of his path to topping the ballot. Capitão Alberto Neto trails at around 16-24% in recent surveys, drawing strength mainly from the capital, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany face higher rejection or limited name recognition. The closely watched first-vote breakdowns consistently place Braga well ahead, with no major campaign shifts reported in the final weeks to alter the positioning.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$37,564
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga holds a commanding lead in the Amazonas Senate race for first place, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 25-50% in stimulated scenarios for the two seats up for election on October 4. His incumbency, prior governorship, and broad support across Manaus and the interior underpin the market's 82.5% pricing, reflecting trader assessments of his path to topping the ballot. Capitão Alberto Neto trails at around 16-24% in recent surveys, drawing strength mainly from the capital, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany face higher rejection or limited name recognition. The closely watched first-vote breakdowns consistently place Braga well ahead, with no major campaign shifts reported in the final weeks to alter the positioning.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$37,564
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "愛德華多·布拉加" at 83%, followed by "卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名" has generated $37.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名" is "愛德華多·布拉加" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞馬遜州參議院選舉:第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.