Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and others. As the PSB incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from high name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas, and official party confirmation of his re-election bid in early August. Capitão Wagner trails at 13% amid 20-22% poll support, while Luizianne Lins sits at 6.2% with 17-20% backing; both trail in head-to-head positioning for the top spot. Other candidates register below 1%, consistent with single-digit or negligible shares in September data. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for late shifts in voter turnout or alliances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cid Gomes 77%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 13%
Luizianne 6.2%
阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯 <1%
$23,167 交易量
$23,167 交易量
2026-10-04
Cid Gomes
77%
卡皮唐·瓦格納
13%
Luizianne
6%
阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯
1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
卡塔麗娜·馬托斯
<1%
雷吉納爾多
<1%
Cid Gomes 77%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 13%
Luizianne 6.2%
阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯 <1%
$23,167 交易量
$23,167 交易量
2026-10-04
Cid Gomes
$15,438 交易量
77%
卡皮唐·瓦格納
$2,701 交易量
13%
Luizianne
$1,258 交易量
6%
阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯
$857 交易量
1%
Lino Alves
$840 交易量
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 交易量
<1%
卡塔麗娜·馬托斯
$650 交易量
<1%
雷吉納爾多
$769 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and others. As the PSB incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from high name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas, and official party confirmation of his re-election bid in early August. Capitão Wagner trails at 13% amid 20-22% poll support, while Luizianne Lins sits at 6.2% with 17-20% backing; both trail in head-to-head positioning for the top spot. Other candidates register below 1%, consistent with single-digit or negligible shares in September data. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for late shifts in voter turnout or alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,167結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and others. As the PSB incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from high name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas, and official party confirmation of his re-election bid in early August. Capitão Wagner trails at 13% amid 20-22% poll support, while Luizianne Lins sits at 6.2% with 17-20% backing; both trail in head-to-head positioning for the top spot. Other candidates register below 1%, consistent with single-digit or negligible shares in September data. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for late shifts in voter turnout or alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$23,167結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETCid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and others. As the PSB incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from high name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas, and official party confirmation of his re-election bid in early August. Capitão Wagner trails at 13% amid 20-22% poll support, while Luizianne Lins sits at 6.2% with 17-20% backing; both trail in head-to-head positioning for the top spot. Other candidates register below 1%, consistent with single-digit or negligible shares in September data. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for late shifts in voter turnout or alliances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions