Iranian lawmakers have intensified rhetoric around NPT withdrawal following the IAEA Board of Governors' September 2026 resolution citing noncompliance and referring the matter to the UN Security Council, with parliament spokesman Abbas Goudarzi describing exit and nuclear doctrine revision as readily attainable steps amid disputes over inspections and verification access. President Masoud Pezeshkian has simultaneously reaffirmed Tehran's commitment to the treaty and international law while rejecting nuclear weapons ambitions. No formal notification under Article X has been issued despite prior parliamentary proposals and suspended IAEA cooperation since 2025, and such a move would require Supreme National Security Council approval plus 90 days' notice. Trader consensus on low probability of withdrawal before 2027 reflects these structural and diplomatic barriers alongside leverage-seeking statements that have not translated into formal action.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
14% khả năng
$550,730 KL.
$550,730 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
14% khả năng
$550,730 KL.
$550,730 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian lawmakers have intensified rhetoric around NPT withdrawal following the IAEA Board of Governors' September 2026 resolution citing noncompliance and referring the matter to the UN Security Council, with parliament spokesman Abbas Goudarzi describing exit and nuclear doctrine revision as readily attainable steps amid disputes over inspections and verification access. President Masoud Pezeshkian has simultaneously reaffirmed Tehran's commitment to the treaty and international law while rejecting nuclear weapons ambitions. No formal notification under Article X has been issued despite prior parliamentary proposals and suspended IAEA cooperation since 2025, and such a move would require Supreme National Security Council approval plus 90 days' notice. Trader consensus on low probability of withdrawal before 2027 reflects these structural and diplomatic barriers alongside leverage-seeking statements that have not translated into formal action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$550,730Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian lawmakers have intensified rhetoric around NPT withdrawal following the IAEA Board of Governors' September 2026 resolution citing noncompliance and referring the matter to the UN Security Council, with parliament spokesman Abbas Goudarzi describing exit and nuclear doctrine revision as readily attainable steps amid disputes over inspections and verification access. President Masoud Pezeshkian has simultaneously reaffirmed Tehran's commitment to the treaty and international law while rejecting nuclear weapons ambitions. No formal notification under Article X has been issued despite prior parliamentary proposals and suspended IAEA cooperation since 2025, and such a move would require Supreme National Security Council approval plus 90 days' notice. Trader consensus on low probability of withdrawal before 2027 reflects these structural and diplomatic barriers alongside leverage-seeking statements that have not translated into formal action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$550,730Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Iranian lawmakers have intensified rhetoric around NPT withdrawal following the IAEA Board of Governors' September 2026 resolution citing noncompliance and referring the matter to the UN Security Council, with parliament spokesman Abbas Goudarzi describing exit and nuclear doctrine revision as readily attainable steps amid disputes over inspections and verification access. President Masoud Pezeshkian has simultaneously reaffirmed Tehran's commitment to the treaty and international law while rejecting nuclear weapons ambitions. No formal notification under Article X has been issued despite prior parliamentary proposals and suspended IAEA cooperation since 2025, and such a move would require Supreme National Security Council approval plus 90 days' notice. Trader consensus on low probability of withdrawal before 2027 reflects these structural and diplomatic barriers alongside leverage-seeking statements that have not translated into formal action.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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