The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat following incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Jon Bonck at 92.5 percent. Bonck secured the nomination after winning a May 2026 runoff with endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and House leadership, plus substantial fundraising exceeding $1.5 million. Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or major national developments, though historical patterns in comparable Texas districts suggest limited volatility at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$28,006 KL.
$28,006 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Bonck (R)
93%
Melissa McDonough (D)
5%
$28,006 KL.
$28,006 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Bonck (R)
$17,956 KL.
93%
Melissa McDonough (D)
$10,050 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat following incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Jon Bonck at 92.5 percent. Bonck secured the nomination after winning a May 2026 runoff with endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and House leadership, plus substantial fundraising exceeding $1.5 million. Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or major national developments, though historical patterns in comparable Texas districts suggest limited volatility at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,006Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat following incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Jon Bonck at 92.5 percent. Bonck secured the nomination after winning a May 2026 runoff with endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and House leadership, plus substantial fundraising exceeding $1.5 million. Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or major national developments, though historical patterns in comparable Texas districts suggest limited volatility at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,006Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat following incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Jon Bonck at 92.5 percent. Bonck secured the nomination after winning a May 2026 runoff with endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and House leadership, plus substantial fundraising exceeding $1.5 million. Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or major national developments, though historical patterns in comparable Texas districts suggest limited volatility at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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