Recent CPI readings have climbed to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, with food inflation at 5.95% and wholesale prices at 9.92%, reflecting broad-based pressures from elevated vegetable prices, West Asia-driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, and adverse base effects. Professional forecasters and RBI projections center around 5.0% for FY 2026-27, supporting the dominant 90.5% market-implied odds for annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent energy costs and potential El Niño impacts on the monsoon could sustain or lift readings toward 6% in coming quarters. Downside risks include a swift resolution to geopolitical tensions easing fuel prices or stronger rainfall curbing food costs, though these appear less probable near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.50%+ 91%
3.75% to 4.49% 4.3%
<0.75% 1.4%
3.00% to 3.74% <1%
$85,561 KL.
$85,561 KL.
Jan 11, 2027
<0.75%
1%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
<1%
2.25% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.74%
1%
3.75% to 4.49%
4%
4.50%+
91%
4.50%+ 91%
3.75% to 4.49% 4.3%
<0.75% 1.4%
3.00% to 3.74% <1%
$85,561 KL.
$85,561 KL.
Jan 11, 2027
<0.75%
$2,303 KL.
1%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,520 KL.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,580 KL.
<1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$25,446 KL.
<1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,410 KL.
1%
3.75% to 4.49%
$31,905 KL.
4%
4.50%+
$20,397 KL.
91%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent CPI readings have climbed to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, with food inflation at 5.95% and wholesale prices at 9.92%, reflecting broad-based pressures from elevated vegetable prices, West Asia-driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, and adverse base effects. Professional forecasters and RBI projections center around 5.0% for FY 2026-27, supporting the dominant 90.5% market-implied odds for annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent energy costs and potential El Niño impacts on the monsoon could sustain or lift readings toward 6% in coming quarters. Downside risks include a swift resolution to geopolitical tensions easing fuel prices or stronger rainfall curbing food costs, though these appear less probable near term.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$85,561Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent CPI readings have climbed to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, with food inflation at 5.95% and wholesale prices at 9.92%, reflecting broad-based pressures from elevated vegetable prices, West Asia-driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, and adverse base effects. Professional forecasters and RBI projections center around 5.0% for FY 2026-27, supporting the dominant 90.5% market-implied odds for annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent energy costs and potential El Niño impacts on the monsoon could sustain or lift readings toward 6% in coming quarters. Downside risks include a swift resolution to geopolitical tensions easing fuel prices or stronger rainfall curbing food costs, though these appear less probable near term.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Khối lượng
$85,561Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent CPI readings have climbed to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, with food inflation at 5.95% and wholesale prices at 9.92%, reflecting broad-based pressures from elevated vegetable prices, West Asia-driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, and adverse base effects. Professional forecasters and RBI projections center around 5.0% for FY 2026-27, supporting the dominant 90.5% market-implied odds for annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent energy costs and potential El Niño impacts on the monsoon could sustain or lift readings toward 6% in coming quarters. Downside risks include a swift resolution to geopolitical tensions easing fuel prices or stronger rainfall curbing food costs, though these appear less probable near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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