Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 98.7% amid consistent polling leads of 30 points or more ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys show him at 55-63% of intended votes, supported by 70% approval of his administration and evaluations rating the government as ótimo or bom for nearly half of respondents. Main challenger Joel Rodrigues trails at around 25%, while the remaining field—including Dra. Lúcia Santos, Professor Gisvaldo, Elizeu Aguiar, and others—registers at 1% or below in late September testing. This positioning reflects stable voter sentiment and Fonteles’ established base, though late shifts from turnout dynamics or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRafael Fonteles 98.6%
Dra. Lúcia Santos <1%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Professor Gisvaldo <1%
$56,979 KL.
$56,979 KL.
Rafael Fonteles
99%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Professor Gisvaldo
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Professor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Rafael Fonteles 98.6%
Dra. Lúcia Santos <1%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Professor Gisvaldo <1%
$56,979 KL.
$56,979 KL.
Rafael Fonteles
99%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Professor Gisvaldo
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Professor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 98.7% amid consistent polling leads of 30 points or more ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys show him at 55-63% of intended votes, supported by 70% approval of his administration and evaluations rating the government as ótimo or bom for nearly half of respondents. Main challenger Joel Rodrigues trails at around 25%, while the remaining field—including Dra. Lúcia Santos, Professor Gisvaldo, Elizeu Aguiar, and others—registers at 1% or below in late September testing. This positioning reflects stable voter sentiment and Fonteles’ established base, though late shifts from turnout dynamics or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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