Augusto Cury’s first-round vote share remains tightly contested between the 2–4% and 4–6% brackets as the October 4 election approaches. The psychiatrist and author surged from low single digits in August to double digits in early September polls after social media growth and television exposure positioned him as a third-way option for voters dissatisfied with the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Recent surveys show stabilization or modest retreat to 3.5–7%, with Cury tied or slightly ahead of Renan Santos in most but trailing in AtlasIntel. High voter indecision, limited party infrastructure, and competition among non-major candidates have kept support fluid. Final campaign advertising, shifts among conservative voters, and any late momentum in digital reach could widen or narrow his share before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4-6% 44%
2-4% 37%
6%+ 19%
1-2% 7%
<1%
4%
1-2%
7%
2-4%
37%
4-6%
44%
6%+
19%
4-6% 44%
2-4% 37%
6%+ 19%
1-2% 7%
<1%
4%
1-2%
7%
2-4%
37%
4-6%
44%
6%+
19%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Augusto Cury’s first-round vote share remains tightly contested between the 2–4% and 4–6% brackets as the October 4 election approaches. The psychiatrist and author surged from low single digits in August to double digits in early September polls after social media growth and television exposure positioned him as a third-way option for voters dissatisfied with the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Recent surveys show stabilization or modest retreat to 3.5–7%, with Cury tied or slightly ahead of Renan Santos in most but trailing in AtlasIntel. High voter indecision, limited party infrastructure, and competition among non-major candidates have kept support fluid. Final campaign advertising, shifts among conservative voters, and any late momentum in digital reach could widen or narrow his share before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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