Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOmar Aziz 55%
Professora Maria do Carmo 27%
Roberto Cidade 15.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,507 KL.
$25,507 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
55%
Professora Maria do Carmo
28%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 55%
Professora Maria do Carmo 27%
Roberto Cidade 15.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,507 KL.
$25,507 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$8,877 KL.
55%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$5,371 KL.
28%
Roberto Cidade
$4,178 KL.
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,851 KL.
1%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,543 KL.
<1%
David Almeida
$1,911 KL.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$1,776 KL.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,507Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$25,507Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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