Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, completing a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, giving the Iran-aligned group direct control over key positions dividing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Government-aligned troops withdrew without significant resistance as the Houthis advanced from the mainland. Saudi Arabia responded with limited airstrikes on coastal targets, while U.S. involvement has remained restricted to intelligence support amid the wider regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations but highlight the Houthis’ current consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities as barriers to quick reversal. Trader assessments of any near-term loss of Houthi control hinge on whether external actors mount a sustained counteroffensive or diplomatic pressure forces withdrawal before scheduled resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
4%
October 31
15%
December 31
30%
$8,843 KL.
September 30
$1,730 KL.
4%
October 31
$3,943 KL.
15%
December 31
$3,171 KL.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, completing a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, giving the Iran-aligned group direct control over key positions dividing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Government-aligned troops withdrew without significant resistance as the Houthis advanced from the mainland. Saudi Arabia responded with limited airstrikes on coastal targets, while U.S. involvement has remained restricted to intelligence support amid the wider regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations but highlight the Houthis’ current consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities as barriers to quick reversal. Trader assessments of any near-term loss of Houthi control hinge on whether external actors mount a sustained counteroffensive or diplomatic pressure forces withdrawal before scheduled resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,843Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, completing a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, giving the Iran-aligned group direct control over key positions dividing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Government-aligned troops withdrew without significant resistance as the Houthis advanced from the mainland. Saudi Arabia responded with limited airstrikes on coastal targets, while U.S. involvement has remained restricted to intelligence support amid the wider regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations but highlight the Houthis’ current consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities as barriers to quick reversal. Trader assessments of any near-term loss of Houthi control hinge on whether external actors mount a sustained counteroffensive or diplomatic pressure forces withdrawal before scheduled resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$8,843Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, completing a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, giving the Iran-aligned group direct control over key positions dividing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Government-aligned troops withdrew without significant resistance as the Houthis advanced from the mainland. Saudi Arabia responded with limited airstrikes on coastal targets, while U.S. involvement has remained restricted to intelligence support amid the wider regional conflict. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations but highlight the Houthis’ current consolidation of surrounding territory and missile/drone capabilities as barriers to quick reversal. Trader assessments of any near-term loss of Houthi control hinge on whether external actors mount a sustained counteroffensive or diplomatic pressure forces withdrawal before scheduled resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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