Val Hoyle’s commanding position in the OR-04 race stems from her incumbency in a district with a D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with decisive primary victories in May 2026 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle outraised her opponent in most recent periods and benefits from established name recognition in a constituency anchored by Democratic-leaning Lane and Benton counties. DeSpain’s stronger one-quarter fundraising and 2024 general-election performance have not shifted the overall trader consensus. Late developments such as an unexpected national partisan wave, significant campaign finance reversal, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
$21,760 KL.
$21,760 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Val Hoyle (D)
94%
Monique DeSpain (R)
6%
$21,760 KL.
$21,760 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Val Hoyle (D)
$14,789 KL.
94%
Monique DeSpain (R)
$6,972 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Val Hoyle’s commanding position in the OR-04 race stems from her incumbency in a district with a D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with decisive primary victories in May 2026 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle outraised her opponent in most recent periods and benefits from established name recognition in a constituency anchored by Democratic-leaning Lane and Benton counties. DeSpain’s stronger one-quarter fundraising and 2024 general-election performance have not shifted the overall trader consensus. Late developments such as an unexpected national partisan wave, significant campaign finance reversal, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,760Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Val Hoyle’s commanding position in the OR-04 race stems from her incumbency in a district with a D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with decisive primary victories in May 2026 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle outraised her opponent in most recent periods and benefits from established name recognition in a constituency anchored by Democratic-leaning Lane and Benton counties. DeSpain’s stronger one-quarter fundraising and 2024 general-election performance have not shifted the overall trader consensus. Late developments such as an unexpected national partisan wave, significant campaign finance reversal, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,760Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Val Hoyle’s commanding position in the OR-04 race stems from her incumbency in a district with a D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with decisive primary victories in May 2026 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle outraised her opponent in most recent periods and benefits from established name recognition in a constituency anchored by Democratic-leaning Lane and Benton counties. DeSpain’s stronger one-quarter fundraising and 2024 general-election performance have not shifted the overall trader consensus. Late developments such as an unexpected national partisan wave, significant campaign finance reversal, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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