Incumbent Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent 77-78% Democratic margins in recent cycles. Brown secured her May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote and maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who won his primary with 65.6%, reports no fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Brown aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 KL.
$38,426 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 KL.
$38,426 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 KL.
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent 77-78% Democratic margins in recent cycles. Brown secured her May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote and maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who won his primary with 65.6%, reports no fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Brown aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,426Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent 77-78% Democratic margins in recent cycles. Brown secured her May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote and maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who won his primary with 65.6%, reports no fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Brown aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$38,426Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent 77-78% Democratic margins in recent cycles. Brown secured her May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote and maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who won his primary with 65.6%, reports no fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Brown aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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