The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$65,370 KL.
$65,370 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
74%
Blake Gendebien (D)
26%
$65,370 KL.
$65,370 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
$34,141 KL.
74%
Blake Gendebien (D)
$31,230 KL.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$65,370Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$65,370Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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