The closely contested Michigan Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent statewide polls with margins inside sampling error, centers trader expectations on general election turnout in the 4.6-4.8 million range. Record Democratic primary participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signaled elevated base enthusiasm following Gary Peters’ retirement, while expanded early and absentee voting access supports solid midterm engagement typical for the state. Economic pressures including auto tariffs and manufacturing concerns further energize both parties’ voters and independents, without clear catalysts for unusually high or low participation ahead of November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election: Turnout
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
4.6M-4.8M 44.3%
4.8M-5M 20%
4.4M-4.6M 20%
5.6M+ 5.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<4.2M
3%
4.2M-4.4M
1%
4.4M-4.6M
20%
4.6M-4.8M
44%
4.8M-5M
20%
5M-5.2M
12%
5.2M-5.4M
1%
5.4M-5.6M
2%
5.6M+
5%
4.6M-4.8M 44.3%
4.8M-5M 20%
4.4M-4.6M 20%
5.6M+ 5.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<4.2M
$278 KL.
3%
4.2M-4.4M
$249 KL.
1%
4.4M-4.6M
$2,010 KL.
20%
4.6M-4.8M
$750 KL.
44%
4.8M-5M
$1,840 KL.
20%
5M-5.2M
$251 KL.
12%
5.2M-5.4M
$2,410 KL.
1%
5.4M-5.6M
$1,307 KL.
2%
5.6M+
$463 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Michigan Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent statewide polls with margins inside sampling error, centers trader expectations on general election turnout in the 4.6-4.8 million range. Record Democratic primary participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signaled elevated base enthusiasm following Gary Peters’ retirement, while expanded early and absentee voting access supports solid midterm engagement typical for the state. Economic pressures including auto tariffs and manufacturing concerns further energize both parties’ voters and independents, without clear catalysts for unusually high or low participation ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,557Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Michigan Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent statewide polls with margins inside sampling error, centers trader expectations on general election turnout in the 4.6-4.8 million range. Record Democratic primary participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signaled elevated base enthusiasm following Gary Peters’ retirement, while expanded early and absentee voting access supports solid midterm engagement typical for the state. Economic pressures including auto tariffs and manufacturing concerns further energize both parties’ voters and independents, without clear catalysts for unusually high or low participation ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$9,557Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Michigan Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent statewide polls with margins inside sampling error, centers trader expectations on general election turnout in the 4.6-4.8 million range. Record Democratic primary participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signaled elevated base enthusiasm following Gary Peters’ retirement, while expanded early and absentee voting access supports solid midterm engagement typical for the state. Economic pressures including auto tariffs and manufacturing concerns further energize both parties’ voters and independents, without clear catalysts for unusually high or low participation ahead of November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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