**Trader consensus centers on 1.5M–1.7M total votes cast in Kentucky’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest, with the 1.5M–1.6M bin leading at 47%.** Kentucky currently has roughly 3.38 million registered voters, with Republicans holding a registration edge (about 48% vs. 41% Democratic). Midterm Senate elections in the state have historically produced turnout in the low-to-mid 40% range of registered voters when the race is not closely competitive. The open-seat matchup between Republican nominee Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker is rated Safe Republican by forecasters, limiting mobilization incentives compared with battleground contests. Recent primary turnout reached about 25–26% statewide in May, providing a baseline for general-election participation absent major late developments. The October 5 registration deadline and standard early/absentee voting patterns are the main near-term variables that could shift final totals within the favored range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKentucky Senate Election: Turnout
Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout
1.5M-1.6M 47%
1.6M-1.7M 32%
1.4M-1.5M 30%
1.2M-1.3M 11.0%
<1.2M
<1%
1.2M-1.3M
18%
1.3M-1.4M
8%
1.4M-1.5M
30%
1.5M-1.6M
47%
1.6M-1.7M
32%
1.7M-1.8M
6%
1.8M+
3%
1.5M-1.6M 47%
1.6M-1.7M 32%
1.4M-1.5M 30%
1.2M-1.3M 11.0%
<1.2M
<1%
1.2M-1.3M
18%
1.3M-1.4M
8%
1.4M-1.5M
30%
1.5M-1.6M
47%
1.6M-1.7M
32%
1.7M-1.8M
6%
1.8M+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 1.5M–1.7M total votes cast in Kentucky’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest, with the 1.5M–1.6M bin leading at 47%.** Kentucky currently has roughly 3.38 million registered voters, with Republicans holding a registration edge (about 48% vs. 41% Democratic). Midterm Senate elections in the state have historically produced turnout in the low-to-mid 40% range of registered voters when the race is not closely competitive. The open-seat matchup between Republican nominee Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker is rated Safe Republican by forecasters, limiting mobilization incentives compared with battleground contests. Recent primary turnout reached about 25–26% statewide in May, providing a baseline for general-election participation absent major late developments. The October 5 registration deadline and standard early/absentee voting patterns are the main near-term variables that could shift final totals within the favored range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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