Incumbent Jack Bergman secured the Republican nomination with a strong primary performance and faces Democrat Callie Barr in a November 3 general election rematch in Michigan’s 1st District. The seat covers the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, a region with a consistent Republican lean exceeding 20 points on partisan metrics and where Bergman previously prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary results and structural factors have reinforced trader consensus around his position, with limited polling or campaign developments shifting the race since August. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm environment favoring Democrats, unusually high opposition turnout, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent’s campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-01 House Election Winner
MI-01 House Election Winner
$21,552 KL.
$21,552 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jack Bergman (R)
94%
Callie Barr (D)
8%
$21,552 KL.
$21,552 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jack Bergman (R)
$11,419 KL.
94%
Callie Barr (D)
$10,133 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jack Bergman secured the Republican nomination with a strong primary performance and faces Democrat Callie Barr in a November 3 general election rematch in Michigan’s 1st District. The seat covers the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, a region with a consistent Republican lean exceeding 20 points on partisan metrics and where Bergman previously prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary results and structural factors have reinforced trader consensus around his position, with limited polling or campaign developments shifting the race since August. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm environment favoring Democrats, unusually high opposition turnout, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent’s campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,552Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jack Bergman secured the Republican nomination with a strong primary performance and faces Democrat Callie Barr in a November 3 general election rematch in Michigan’s 1st District. The seat covers the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, a region with a consistent Republican lean exceeding 20 points on partisan metrics and where Bergman previously prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary results and structural factors have reinforced trader consensus around his position, with limited polling or campaign developments shifting the race since August. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm environment favoring Democrats, unusually high opposition turnout, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent’s campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,552Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jack Bergman secured the Republican nomination with a strong primary performance and faces Democrat Callie Barr in a November 3 general election rematch in Michigan’s 1st District. The seat covers the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, a region with a consistent Republican lean exceeding 20 points on partisan metrics and where Bergman previously prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary results and structural factors have reinforced trader consensus around his position, with limited polling or campaign developments shifting the race since August. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm environment favoring Democrats, unusually high opposition turnout, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent’s campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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