Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$46,467 KL.
$46,467 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
81%
Adam Hamilton (D)
19%
$46,467 KL.
$46,467 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$30,174 KL.
81%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$16,293 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46,467Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$46,467Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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