Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$25,175 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Below 4.50%
73%
Below 4.45%
60%
Below 4.40%
43%
Below 4.35%
35%
Below 4.30%
34%
Below 4.25%
19%
Below 4.20%
11%
Below 4.10%
12%
Below 4.00%
9%
$25,175 KL.
Below 4.50%
$1,495 KL.
73%
Below 4.45%
$2,866 KL.
60%
Below 4.40%
$1,886 KL.
43%
Below 4.35%
$3,226 KL.
35%
Below 4.30%
$2,601 KL.
34%
Below 4.25%
$834 KL.
19%
Below 4.20%
$3,973 KL.
11%
Below 4.10%
$6,694 KL.
12%
Below 4.00%
$1,600 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,175Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$25,175Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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