Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing in June and targeted October 2026 Nasdaq listing at a projected $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuation represent the dominant catalyst behind its 58.9% market-implied odds for the year's largest IPO by market cap. Explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $47 billion and private valuations recently reaching $1.31 trillion in secondary trading, supports expectations of record proceeds and a step-up from its $965 billion Series H. SpaceX's June debut at $1.77 trillion remains the benchmark, yet its completed status and xAI integration limit further upside in 2026 comparisons. OpenAI's delayed timeline and lower implied odds reflect greater execution and cash-burn uncertainties, while other candidates show negligible positioning amid the AI-focused IPO wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIPO lớn nhất theo vốn hóa thị trường vào năm 2026?
IPO lớn nhất theo vốn hóa thị trường vào năm 2026?
Anthropic 58.9%
SpaceX 41%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,970,963 KL.
$5,970,963 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
59%
SpaceX
41%
OpenAI
2%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Anthropic 58.9%
SpaceX 41%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,970,963 KL.
$5,970,963 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
$1,096,755 KL.
59%
SpaceX
$874,844 KL.
41%
OpenAI
$552,951 KL.
2%
Discord
$182,734 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$213,746 KL.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 KL.
<1%
Kraken
$656,964 KL.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 KL.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 KL.
<1%
Revolut
$633,687 KL.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 KL.
<1%
Databricks
$615,205 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing in June and targeted October 2026 Nasdaq listing at a projected $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuation represent the dominant catalyst behind its 58.9% market-implied odds for the year's largest IPO by market cap. Explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $47 billion and private valuations recently reaching $1.31 trillion in secondary trading, supports expectations of record proceeds and a step-up from its $965 billion Series H. SpaceX's June debut at $1.77 trillion remains the benchmark, yet its completed status and xAI integration limit further upside in 2026 comparisons. OpenAI's delayed timeline and lower implied odds reflect greater execution and cash-burn uncertainties, while other candidates show negligible positioning amid the AI-focused IPO wave.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,970,963Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing in June and targeted October 2026 Nasdaq listing at a projected $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuation represent the dominant catalyst behind its 58.9% market-implied odds for the year's largest IPO by market cap. Explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $47 billion and private valuations recently reaching $1.31 trillion in secondary trading, supports expectations of record proceeds and a step-up from its $965 billion Series H. SpaceX's June debut at $1.77 trillion remains the benchmark, yet its completed status and xAI integration limit further upside in 2026 comparisons. OpenAI's delayed timeline and lower implied odds reflect greater execution and cash-burn uncertainties, while other candidates show negligible positioning amid the AI-focused IPO wave.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$5,970,963Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing in June and targeted October 2026 Nasdaq listing at a projected $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuation represent the dominant catalyst behind its 58.9% market-implied odds for the year's largest IPO by market cap. Explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $47 billion and private valuations recently reaching $1.31 trillion in secondary trading, supports expectations of record proceeds and a step-up from its $965 billion Series H. SpaceX's June debut at $1.77 trillion remains the benchmark, yet its completed status and xAI integration limit further upside in 2026 comparisons. OpenAI's delayed timeline and lower implied odds reflect greater execution and cash-burn uncertainties, while other candidates show negligible positioning amid the AI-focused IPO wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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