OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation, anchor trader sentiment for the eventual listing. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set an $852 billion post-money mark, reaffirmed in an August employee tender, while annualized revenue has reached roughly $40 billion amid ongoing heavy losses and data-center spending. Competitive dynamics with Anthropic’s higher private valuation and post-SpaceX IPO volatility have tempered near-term optimism, producing closely matched implied probabilities across the $1.25–2.0 trillion brackets. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over achievable revenue multiples, regulatory timing, and capital-market appetite for AI growth stories at scale. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the confidential S-1 and updates on 2026–2027 financial inflection points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.5%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,136 KL.
$124,136 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
15%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.5%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,136 KL.
$124,136 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
$15,466 KL.
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,056 KL.
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,920 KL.
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,078 KL.
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 KL.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 KL.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 KL.
6%
$2.5T+
$57,641 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation, anchor trader sentiment for the eventual listing. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set an $852 billion post-money mark, reaffirmed in an August employee tender, while annualized revenue has reached roughly $40 billion amid ongoing heavy losses and data-center spending. Competitive dynamics with Anthropic’s higher private valuation and post-SpaceX IPO volatility have tempered near-term optimism, producing closely matched implied probabilities across the $1.25–2.0 trillion brackets. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over achievable revenue multiples, regulatory timing, and capital-market appetite for AI growth stories at scale. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the confidential S-1 and updates on 2026–2027 financial inflection points.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$124,136Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation, anchor trader sentiment for the eventual listing. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set an $852 billion post-money mark, reaffirmed in an August employee tender, while annualized revenue has reached roughly $40 billion amid ongoing heavy losses and data-center spending. Competitive dynamics with Anthropic’s higher private valuation and post-SpaceX IPO volatility have tempered near-term optimism, producing closely matched implied probabilities across the $1.25–2.0 trillion brackets. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over achievable revenue multiples, regulatory timing, and capital-market appetite for AI growth stories at scale. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the confidential S-1 and updates on 2026–2027 financial inflection points.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$124,136Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation, anchor trader sentiment for the eventual listing. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set an $852 billion post-money mark, reaffirmed in an August employee tender, while annualized revenue has reached roughly $40 billion amid ongoing heavy losses and data-center spending. Competitive dynamics with Anthropic’s higher private valuation and post-SpaceX IPO volatility have tempered near-term optimism, producing closely matched implied probabilities across the $1.25–2.0 trillion brackets. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over achievable revenue multiples, regulatory timing, and capital-market appetite for AI growth stories at scale. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the confidential S-1 and updates on 2026–2027 financial inflection points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp