Recent meteorological observations and forecast models position a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome for Taipei on September 10, consistent with the market-implied probability exceeding 80%. September climatology features mean daily highs of approximately 31–32°C, supported by typical subtropical conditions and limited cloud cover allowing solar heating. Recent Central Weather Administration data show a temporary cooling episode earlier in the month, including a notably low average temperature on September 6, yet steering patterns and moisture levels have moderated, keeping intensification of showers or stronger winds from suppressing the peak. Updated model consensus narrows the range around 30–32°C, with resolution criteria focused on the official station reading. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects these stable atmospheric drivers over lower-probability extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
31°C 93%
32°C 7%
33°C 1.0%
25°C or below <1%
$21,432 KL.
$21,432 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
93%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 93%
32°C 7%
33°C 1.0%
25°C or below <1%
$21,432 KL.
$21,432 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
93%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast models position a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome for Taipei on September 10, consistent with the market-implied probability exceeding 80%. September climatology features mean daily highs of approximately 31–32°C, supported by typical subtropical conditions and limited cloud cover allowing solar heating. Recent Central Weather Administration data show a temporary cooling episode earlier in the month, including a notably low average temperature on September 6, yet steering patterns and moisture levels have moderated, keeping intensification of showers or stronger winds from suppressing the peak. Updated model consensus narrows the range around 30–32°C, with resolution criteria focused on the official station reading. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects these stable atmospheric drivers over lower-probability extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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