The dominant market positioning at 30°C reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting a daily maximum near that threshold for Shanghai on September 10 under stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from local stations align closely with this level, consistent with historical September climatology showing typical highs of 28–31°C and limited variability from current atmospheric patterns. Low odds on higher thresholds stem from the absence of significant warming mechanisms such as strong insolation or warm advection in model runs. Any realistic shift would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or a revised afternoon analysis from official monitoring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
30°C 96%
31°C 2.9%
32°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
$93,915 KL.
$93,915 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
96%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 96%
31°C 2.9%
32°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
$93,915 KL.
$93,915 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
$3,011 KL.
<1%
26°C
$7,295 KL.
<1%
27°C
$19,169 KL.
<1%
28°C
$23,459 KL.
<1%
29°C
$18,293 KL.
<1%
30°C
$8,719 KL.
96%
31°C
$7,014 KL.
3%
32°C
$3,074 KL.
1%
33°C
$845 KL.
<1%
34°C
$1,521 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,515 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning at 30°C reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting a daily maximum near that threshold for Shanghai on September 10 under stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from local stations align closely with this level, consistent with historical September climatology showing typical highs of 28–31°C and limited variability from current atmospheric patterns. Low odds on higher thresholds stem from the absence of significant warming mechanisms such as strong insolation or warm advection in model runs. Any realistic shift would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or a revised afternoon analysis from official monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$93,915Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning at 30°C reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting a daily maximum near that threshold for Shanghai on September 10 under stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from local stations align closely with this level, consistent with historical September climatology showing typical highs of 28–31°C and limited variability from current atmospheric patterns. Low odds on higher thresholds stem from the absence of significant warming mechanisms such as strong insolation or warm advection in model runs. Any realistic shift would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or a revised afternoon analysis from official monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$93,915Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market positioning at 30°C reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting a daily maximum near that threshold for Shanghai on September 10 under stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from local stations align closely with this level, consistent with historical September climatology showing typical highs of 28–31°C and limited variability from current atmospheric patterns. Low odds on higher thresholds stem from the absence of significant warming mechanisms such as strong insolation or warm advection in model runs. Any realistic shift would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or a revised afternoon analysis from official monitoring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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