Forecast models for Taipei on September 11 show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures between 27–30°C driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit solar heating and surface warming. Official guidance from sources like the Central Weather Administration indicates highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, consistent with late-summer patterns where monsoon influences suppress peaks below seasonal averages. This uncertainty across ensemble runs explains the market's closely matched implied probabilities for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes. Final resolution will depend on verified hourly observations from authorized stations, with any last-minute model shifts from updated runs potentially altering trader positioning before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on September 11?
29°C 30%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
30%
30°C
26%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
30%
30°C
26%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Taipei on September 11 show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures between 27–30°C driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit solar heating and surface warming. Official guidance from sources like the Central Weather Administration indicates highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, consistent with late-summer patterns where monsoon influences suppress peaks below seasonal averages. This uncertainty across ensemble runs explains the market's closely matched implied probabilities for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes. Final resolution will depend on verified hourly observations from authorized stations, with any last-minute model shifts from updated runs potentially altering trader positioning before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp