**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 11?
26°C or higher 48%
25°C 35%
24°C 13%
23°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
35%
26°C or higher
48%
26°C or higher 48%
25°C 35%
24°C 13%
23°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$266 KL.
<1%
17°C
$256 KL.
<1%
18°C
$256 KL.
<1%
19°C
$176 KL.
<1%
20°C
$36 KL.
<1%
21°C
$23 KL.
1%
22°C
$117 KL.
3%
23°C
$93 KL.
5%
24°C
$124 KL.
13%
25°C
$332 KL.
35%
26°C or higher
$822 KL.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,501Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,501Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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