Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 11?
102-103°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,819 KL.
$30,819 KL.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Yes
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
102-103°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,819 KL.
$30,819 KL.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Yes
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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