Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$32,175 KL.
$32,175 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jacqui Irwin (D)
95%
Sam Gallucci (R)
6%
$32,175 KL.
$32,175 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jacqui Irwin (D)
$16,426 KL.
95%
Sam Gallucci (R)
$15,749 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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