Omar Aziz (PSD) maintains a consistent first-round polling edge of 26-34% in recent surveys, supported by his prior service as governor and senator plus a broad coalition including PSD, MDB, and Republicanos. The race for second place stays tightly contested among current interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), with results often within margins of error and voter indecision or fragmentation above 20%. Hypothetical runoff simulations show technical ties or shifts depending on consolidation of remaining support. With the first round set for October 4, late campaign events, turnout patterns in Manaus versus the interior, and any final alliances could determine whether Aziz secures an outright win or faces a competitive second round on October 25.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOmar Aziz 52%
Professora Maria do Carmo 36%
Roberto Cidade 14.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%
$29,660 KL.
$29,660 KL.

Omar Aziz
52%

Professora Maria do Carmo
36%

Roberto Cidade
15%

Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%

Cabo Daciolo
<1%

David Almeida
<1%

Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 52%
Professora Maria do Carmo 36%
Roberto Cidade 14.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%
$29,660 KL.
$29,660 KL.

Omar Aziz
52%

Professora Maria do Carmo
36%

Roberto Cidade
15%

Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%

Cabo Daciolo
<1%

David Almeida
<1%

Isael Munduruku
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD) maintains a consistent first-round polling edge of 26-34% in recent surveys, supported by his prior service as governor and senator plus a broad coalition including PSD, MDB, and Republicanos. The race for second place stays tightly contested among current interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), with results often within margins of error and voter indecision or fragmentation above 20%. Hypothetical runoff simulations show technical ties or shifts depending on consolidation of remaining support. With the first round set for October 4, late campaign events, turnout patterns in Manaus versus the interior, and any final alliances could determine whether Aziz secures an outright win or faces a competitive second round on October 25.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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