Russian forces continue persistent assault and infiltration operations against Kolodiazi in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, seeking to seize or bypass the village as part of efforts to advance toward Lyman and eventually Sloviansk. Ukrainian Defense Forces have repeatedly repelled these attacks, maintaining control amid intensified Russian use of glide bombs, artillery, and FPV drones that have damaged infrastructure and prompted civilian evacuations. The position remains under pressure from flanking maneuvers to the south, east, and north, consistent with broader attritional fighting along the Lyman front where Russian units prioritize incremental gains without recent confirmed breakthroughs at this specific location. No major scheduled diplomatic or operational developments have altered the immediate tactical balance in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by...?
October 31
79%
December 31
81%
$7,368 Обс.
October 31
79%
December 31
81%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue persistent assault and infiltration operations against Kolodiazi in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, seeking to seize or bypass the village as part of efforts to advance toward Lyman and eventually Sloviansk. Ukrainian Defense Forces have repeatedly repelled these attacks, maintaining control amid intensified Russian use of glide bombs, artillery, and FPV drones that have damaged infrastructure and prompted civilian evacuations. The position remains under pressure from flanking maneuvers to the south, east, and north, consistent with broader attritional fighting along the Lyman front where Russian units prioritize incremental gains without recent confirmed breakthroughs at this specific location. No major scheduled diplomatic or operational developments have altered the immediate tactical balance in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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