Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue without a ceasefire, marked by drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile states, and a deepening humanitarian crisis with widespread displacement. Recent diplomatic activity includes a June 2026 prisoner exchange facilitated by UN envoy Pekka Haavisto and the Quintet (AU, IGAD, Arab League, EU, UN) holding direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8–10 to advance civilian-led talks excluding the warring commanders. US-mediated truce proposals remain stalled over demands for full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas, while both sides face external support networks and internal strains. These factors sustain trader views that near-term resolution faces significant procedural and battlefield barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$119,424 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
14%
$119,424 Обс.
December 31, 2026
$14,886 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue without a ceasefire, marked by drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile states, and a deepening humanitarian crisis with widespread displacement. Recent diplomatic activity includes a June 2026 prisoner exchange facilitated by UN envoy Pekka Haavisto and the Quintet (AU, IGAD, Arab League, EU, UN) holding direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8–10 to advance civilian-led talks excluding the warring commanders. US-mediated truce proposals remain stalled over demands for full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas, while both sides face external support networks and internal strains. These factors sustain trader views that near-term resolution faces significant procedural and battlefield barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$119,424Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue without a ceasefire, marked by drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile states, and a deepening humanitarian crisis with widespread displacement. Recent diplomatic activity includes a June 2026 prisoner exchange facilitated by UN envoy Pekka Haavisto and the Quintet (AU, IGAD, Arab League, EU, UN) holding direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8–10 to advance civilian-led talks excluding the warring commanders. US-mediated truce proposals remain stalled over demands for full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas, while both sides face external support networks and internal strains. These factors sustain trader views that near-term resolution faces significant procedural and battlefield barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Обсяг
$119,424Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue without a ceasefire, marked by drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile states, and a deepening humanitarian crisis with widespread displacement. Recent diplomatic activity includes a June 2026 prisoner exchange facilitated by UN envoy Pekka Haavisto and the Quintet (AU, IGAD, Arab League, EU, UN) holding direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8–10 to advance civilian-led talks excluding the warring commanders. US-mediated truce proposals remain stalled over demands for full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas, while both sides face external support networks and internal strains. These factors sustain trader views that near-term resolution faces significant procedural and battlefield barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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