Recent polls, including a September Real Time Big Data survey, show Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, positioning Jaques Wagner (PT) as the frontrunner for second place at 19% while João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail closely at 17% and 15%. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with the requirement that each elector selects two distinct candidates, sustain tight competition for the runner-up spot. Wagner's position reflects his incumbency and party infrastructure, yet Roma's recent gains and Coronel's established base keep the ordering fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Further shifts in opposition turnout or late campaign events could alter the second-place outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJaques Wagner 43%
Rui Costa 17.6%
Angelo Coronel 16.6%
João Roma 12.4%
$34,891 Обс.
$34,891 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
43%
Rui Costa
18%
Angelo Coronel
17%
João Roma
7%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 43%
Rui Costa 17.6%
Angelo Coronel 16.6%
João Roma 12.4%
$34,891 Обс.
$34,891 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$23,338 Обс.
43%
Rui Costa
$4,840 Обс.
18%
Angelo Coronel
$1,641 Обс.
17%
João Roma
$1,255 Обс.
7%
Carlos Sodré
$681 Обс.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Обс.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Обс.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Обс.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Обс.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including a September Real Time Big Data survey, show Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, positioning Jaques Wagner (PT) as the frontrunner for second place at 19% while João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail closely at 17% and 15%. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with the requirement that each elector selects two distinct candidates, sustain tight competition for the runner-up spot. Wagner's position reflects his incumbency and party infrastructure, yet Roma's recent gains and Coronel's established base keep the ordering fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Further shifts in opposition turnout or late campaign events could alter the second-place outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,891Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including a September Real Time Big Data survey, show Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, positioning Jaques Wagner (PT) as the frontrunner for second place at 19% while João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail closely at 17% and 15%. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with the requirement that each elector selects two distinct candidates, sustain tight competition for the runner-up spot. Wagner's position reflects his incumbency and party infrastructure, yet Roma's recent gains and Coronel's established base keep the ordering fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Further shifts in opposition turnout or late campaign events could alter the second-place outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$34,891Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including a September Real Time Big Data survey, show Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, positioning Jaques Wagner (PT) as the frontrunner for second place at 19% while João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail closely at 17% and 15%. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with the requirement that each elector selects two distinct candidates, sustain tight competition for the runner-up spot. Wagner's position reflects his incumbency and party infrastructure, yet Roma's recent gains and Coronel's established base keep the ordering fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Further shifts in opposition turnout or late campaign events could alter the second-place outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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