Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLucas Ribeiro 78%
Efraim Filho 16%
Cícero Lucena 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$61,874 Обс.
$61,874 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
78%
Efraim Filho
16%
Cícero Lucena
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Romero Rodrigues
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 78%
Efraim Filho 16%
Cícero Lucena 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$61,874 Обс.
$61,874 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,333 Обс.
78%
Efraim Filho
$14,166 Обс.
16%
Cícero Lucena
$20,448 Обс.
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$861 Обс.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$843 Обс.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,478 Обс.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,398 Обс.
1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,348 Обс.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,874Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$61,874Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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