Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages across recent surveys from institutes such as AtlasIntel, Real Time, and Quaest. As the former two-term governor who resigned to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and strong first-preference support often exceeding 30-45% in simulated ballots, far ahead of rivals like Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos). Recent developments include an Electoral Public Ministry opinion recommending ineligibility over alleged improper continuation of gubernatorial activities post-disengagement, with his candidacy still pending judicial review ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders appear to discount major disruption to his frontrunner status given the margin and structural advantages.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHelder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 15.9%
Edlaine Rodrigues 3.4%
Zequinha Marinho 3.0%
$18,377 Обс.
$18,377 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
16%
Edlaine Rodrigues
3%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Conti
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 15.9%
Edlaine Rodrigues 3.4%
Zequinha Marinho 3.0%
$18,377 Обс.
$18,377 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$12,734 Обс.
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 Обс.
16%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$609 Обс.
3%
Zequinha Marinho
$574 Обс.
3%
Fernanda Lopes
$731 Обс.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$534 Обс.
1%
Celso Sabino
$504 Обс.
1%
Conti
$556 Обс.
<1%
Chicão
$493 Обс.
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
$567 Обс.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$441 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages across recent surveys from institutes such as AtlasIntel, Real Time, and Quaest. As the former two-term governor who resigned to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and strong first-preference support often exceeding 30-45% in simulated ballots, far ahead of rivals like Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos). Recent developments include an Electoral Public Ministry opinion recommending ineligibility over alleged improper continuation of gubernatorial activities post-disengagement, with his candidacy still pending judicial review ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders appear to discount major disruption to his frontrunner status given the margin and structural advantages.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,377Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages across recent surveys from institutes such as AtlasIntel, Real Time, and Quaest. As the former two-term governor who resigned to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and strong first-preference support often exceeding 30-45% in simulated ballots, far ahead of rivals like Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos). Recent developments include an Electoral Public Ministry opinion recommending ineligibility over alleged improper continuation of gubernatorial activities post-disengagement, with his candidacy still pending judicial review ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders appear to discount major disruption to his frontrunner status given the margin and structural advantages.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$18,377Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages across recent surveys from institutes such as AtlasIntel, Real Time, and Quaest. As the former two-term governor who resigned to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and strong first-preference support often exceeding 30-45% in simulated ballots, far ahead of rivals like Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos). Recent developments include an Electoral Public Ministry opinion recommending ineligibility over alleged improper continuation of gubernatorial activities post-disengagement, with his candidacy still pending judicial review ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders appear to discount major disruption to his frontrunner status given the margin and structural advantages.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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