Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, and his record of comfortable reelections since winning the seat in 2018. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June primary with over 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Traders appear to view these structural and resource advantages as decisive, though late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$33,113 Обс.
$33,113 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Обс.
$33,113 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Обс.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, and his record of comfortable reelections since winning the seat in 2018. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June primary with over 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Traders appear to view these structural and resource advantages as decisive, though late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,113Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, and his record of comfortable reelections since winning the seat in 2018. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June primary with over 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Traders appear to view these structural and resource advantages as decisive, though late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,113Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, and his record of comfortable reelections since winning the seat in 2018. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June primary with over 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Traders appear to view these structural and resource advantages as decisive, though late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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