Nick Langworthy’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent reflects the NY-23 district’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. His substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary further support trader consensus around an implied probability exceeding 90 percent. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Southern Tier and Western New York district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political shift, major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high turnout favoring Democrats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
$24,471 Обс.
$24,471 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
9%
$24,471 Обс.
$24,471 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$11,093 Обс.
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
$13,378 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent reflects the NY-23 district’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. His substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary further support trader consensus around an implied probability exceeding 90 percent. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Southern Tier and Western New York district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political shift, major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high turnout favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,471Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent reflects the NY-23 district’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. His substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary further support trader consensus around an implied probability exceeding 90 percent. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Southern Tier and Western New York district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political shift, major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high turnout favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,471Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Nick Langworthy’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent reflects the NY-23 district’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. His substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary further support trader consensus around an implied probability exceeding 90 percent. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Southern Tier and Western New York district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political shift, major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high turnout favoring Democrats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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