Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and her established position as a three-term representative. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with Tenney’s prior margins exceeding 30 points in some cycles. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee who won her June primary, faces structural challenges including limited campaign funds and the partisan makeup of the Finger Lakes and North Country region. Trader consensus prices these factors heavily, though late developments such as a national economic shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability issues could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,577 Обс.
$20,577 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
9%
$20,577 Обс.
$20,577 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,938 Обс.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,639 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and her established position as a three-term representative. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with Tenney’s prior margins exceeding 30 points in some cycles. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee who won her June primary, faces structural challenges including limited campaign funds and the partisan makeup of the Finger Lakes and North Country region. Trader consensus prices these factors heavily, though late developments such as a national economic shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability issues could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,577Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and her established position as a three-term representative. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with Tenney’s prior margins exceeding 30 points in some cycles. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee who won her June primary, faces structural challenges including limited campaign funds and the partisan makeup of the Finger Lakes and North Country region. Trader consensus prices these factors heavily, though late developments such as a national economic shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability issues could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,577Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and her established position as a three-term representative. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with Tenney’s prior margins exceeding 30 points in some cycles. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee who won her June primary, faces structural challenges including limited campaign funds and the partisan makeup of the Finger Lakes and North Country region. Trader consensus prices these factors heavily, though late developments such as a national economic shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability issues could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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