Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, where the party has held the seat since 2018 and won comfortably in 2024. She faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who narrowly defeated Quentin Wittrock in the August 2026 primary. The district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns further support the current trader consensus. Bass would need an unusually strong national Republican environment or late-breaking developments, such as a major scandal or turnout surge, to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$21,966 Обс.
$21,966 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
6%
$21,966 Обс.
$21,966 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 Обс.
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$9,538 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, where the party has held the seat since 2018 and won comfortably in 2024. She faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who narrowly defeated Quentin Wittrock in the August 2026 primary. The district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns further support the current trader consensus. Bass would need an unusually strong national Republican environment or late-breaking developments, such as a major scandal or turnout surge, to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,966Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, where the party has held the seat since 2018 and won comfortably in 2024. She faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who narrowly defeated Quentin Wittrock in the August 2026 primary. The district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns further support the current trader consensus. Bass would need an unusually strong national Republican environment or late-breaking developments, such as a major scandal or turnout surge, to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,966Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, where the party has held the seat since 2018 and won comfortably in 2024. She faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who narrowly defeated Quentin Wittrock in the August 2026 primary. The district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns further support the current trader consensus. Bass would need an unusually strong national Republican environment or late-breaking developments, such as a major scandal or turnout surge, to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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