Tom Emmer’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 6th District stems from the seat’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his long tenure since 2015, and role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80% in the August 2026 primary after winning strong party endorsement, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, consistent with Emmer’s 62% win in 2024. A late national Democratic wave, major scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout among suburban moderates could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$41,423 Обс.
$41,423 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
91%
Doug Chapin (D)
10%
$41,423 Обс.
$41,423 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,380 Обс.
91%
Doug Chapin (D)
$18,043 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 6th District stems from the seat’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his long tenure since 2015, and role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80% in the August 2026 primary after winning strong party endorsement, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, consistent with Emmer’s 62% win in 2024. A late national Democratic wave, major scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout among suburban moderates could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,423Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 6th District stems from the seat’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his long tenure since 2015, and role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80% in the August 2026 primary after winning strong party endorsement, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, consistent with Emmer’s 62% win in 2024. A late national Democratic wave, major scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout among suburban moderates could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$41,423Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 6th District stems from the seat’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his long tenure since 2015, and role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the GOP nomination with over 80% in the August 2026 primary after winning strong party endorsement, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, consistent with Emmer’s 62% win in 2024. A late national Democratic wave, major scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout among suburban moderates could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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