The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$677,855 Обс.
$677,855 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$677,855 Обс.
$677,855 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$371,051 Обс.
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
$306,803 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$677,855Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$677,855Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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