Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including a 4-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combined with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2002. As lieutenant governor and the DFL primary winner over Rep. Angie Craig, Flanagan benefits from strong name recognition, progressive endorsements, and the structural advantages of an open seat in a state where Republicans have struggled to win statewide office in recent cycles. Michele Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces headwinds from limited recent Republican success and a polling environment showing a modest Democratic edge. Trader consensus in the market appears to weigh these fundamentals heavily. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or major campaign events could still narrow the gap before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$68,624 Обс.
$68,624 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,624 Обс.
$68,624 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$49,979 Обс.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,645 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including a 4-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combined with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2002. As lieutenant governor and the DFL primary winner over Rep. Angie Craig, Flanagan benefits from strong name recognition, progressive endorsements, and the structural advantages of an open seat in a state where Republicans have struggled to win statewide office in recent cycles. Michele Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces headwinds from limited recent Republican success and a polling environment showing a modest Democratic edge. Trader consensus in the market appears to weigh these fundamentals heavily. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or major campaign events could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$68,624Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including a 4-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combined with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2002. As lieutenant governor and the DFL primary winner over Rep. Angie Craig, Flanagan benefits from strong name recognition, progressive endorsements, and the structural advantages of an open seat in a state where Republicans have struggled to win statewide office in recent cycles. Michele Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces headwinds from limited recent Republican success and a polling environment showing a modest Democratic edge. Trader consensus in the market appears to weigh these fundamentals heavily. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or major campaign events could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$68,624Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including a 4-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combined with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2002. As lieutenant governor and the DFL primary winner over Rep. Angie Craig, Flanagan benefits from strong name recognition, progressive endorsements, and the structural advantages of an open seat in a state where Republicans have struggled to win statewide office in recent cycles. Michele Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces headwinds from limited recent Republican success and a polling environment showing a modest Democratic edge. Trader consensus in the market appears to weigh these fundamentals heavily. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or major campaign events could still narrow the gap before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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