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icon for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

icon for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$142,390 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$142,390 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31

$53,790 Обс.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, now in his early 90s, continues to lead the Palestinian Authority and Fatah without signs of imminent departure, despite repeated polls showing 80 percent or more of Palestinians favoring his resignation. He formalized a succession framework in late 2025 designating Vice President Hussein al-Sheikh as interim leader for up to 180 days pending elections if a vacancy occurs. Abbas secured re-election as Fatah head in May 2026, elevated his son Yasser to the central committee, and issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 28, 2026, with presidential voting slated for 2027. Recent activity includes Cairo talks with Egyptian President Sisi on September 16, 2026, focused on Gaza and reconciliation, alongside another U.S. visa denial for the UN General Assembly. Historical postponements, internal Fatah rivalries involving figures such as Marwan Barghouti and Mohammed Dahlan, and questions over whether elections will occur on schedule remain central variables for any near-term leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$142,390
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, now in his early 90s, continues to lead the Palestinian Authority and Fatah without signs of imminent departure, despite repeated polls showing 80 percent or more of Palestinians favoring his resignation. He formalized a succession framework in late 2025 designating Vice President Hussein al-Sheikh as interim leader for up to 180 days pending elections if a vacancy occurs. Abbas secured re-election as Fatah head in May 2026, elevated his son Yasser to the central committee, and issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 28, 2026, with presidential voting slated for 2027. Recent activity includes Cairo talks with Egyptian President Sisi on September 16, 2026, focused on Gaza and reconciliation, alongside another U.S. visa denial for the UN General Assembly. Historical postponements, internal Fatah rivalries involving figures such as Marwan Barghouti and Mohammed Dahlan, and questions over whether elections will occur on schedule remain central variables for any near-term leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$142,390
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 14%, далі «June 30» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?» згенерував $142.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 5, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?» — «December 31» з 14%. Наступний — «June 30» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.