Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely bottom out in the mid-60s°F as northerly winds follow a recent frontal passage, moderating humidity while clear skies promote radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 64-67°F bins, reflecting consensus around seasonal norms near 59°F yet tempered by lingering late-summer warmth. Key variables include exact dew point depression, cloud cover timing, and wind speeds that could shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining the broad distribution including elevated odds on 57°F or below. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
76°F or higher 90%
57°F or below 63%
64-65°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
57°F or below
63%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
3%
76°F or higher
90%
76°F or higher 90%
57°F or below 63%
64-65°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
57°F or below
$40 Обс.
63%
58-59°F
$15 Обс.
21%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
21%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
22%
64-65°F
$60 Обс.
30%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
22%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
21%
72-73°F
$5 Обс.
40%
74-75°F
$5 Обс.
3%
76°F or higher
$5 Обс.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely bottom out in the mid-60s°F as northerly winds follow a recent frontal passage, moderating humidity while clear skies promote radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 64-67°F bins, reflecting consensus around seasonal norms near 59°F yet tempered by lingering late-summer warmth. Key variables include exact dew point depression, cloud cover timing, and wind speeds that could shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining the broad distribution including elevated odds on 57°F or below. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely bottom out in the mid-60s°F as northerly winds follow a recent frontal passage, moderating humidity while clear skies promote radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 64-67°F bins, reflecting consensus around seasonal norms near 59°F yet tempered by lingering late-summer warmth. Key variables include exact dew point depression, cloud cover timing, and wind speeds that could shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining the broad distribution including elevated odds on 57°F or below. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely bottom out in the mid-60s°F as northerly winds follow a recent frontal passage, moderating humidity while clear skies promote radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 64-67°F bins, reflecting consensus around seasonal norms near 59°F yet tempered by lingering late-summer warmth. Key variables include exact dew point depression, cloud cover timing, and wind speeds that could shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining the broad distribution including elevated odds on 57°F or below. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання