Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning 19–27 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support for the Netanyahu-led party. Fragmentation within the right-wing bloc, the rise of centrist alternatives such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party (often polling 22–25 seats), and competition from other lists have drawn voters away. Candidate slate finalization on September 8 produced little shift in these trends, with multiple surveys from early September confirming the pro-Netanyahu bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority while Likud itself trails or ties newer opposition contenders. These patterns underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено92% шанс
$17,453 Обс.
$17,453 Обс.
Oct 26, 2026
92% шанс
$17,453 Обс.
$17,453 Обс.
Oct 26, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning 19–27 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support for the Netanyahu-led party. Fragmentation within the right-wing bloc, the rise of centrist alternatives such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party (often polling 22–25 seats), and competition from other lists have drawn voters away. Candidate slate finalization on September 8 produced little shift in these trends, with multiple surveys from early September confirming the pro-Netanyahu bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority while Likud itself trails or ties newer opposition contenders. These patterns underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,453Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning 19–27 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support for the Netanyahu-led party. Fragmentation within the right-wing bloc, the rise of centrist alternatives such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party (often polling 22–25 seats), and competition from other lists have drawn voters away. Candidate slate finalization on September 8 produced little shift in these trends, with multiple surveys from early September confirming the pro-Netanyahu bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority while Likud itself trails or ties newer opposition contenders. These patterns underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$17,453Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning 19–27 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support for the Netanyahu-led party. Fragmentation within the right-wing bloc, the rise of centrist alternatives such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party (often polling 22–25 seats), and competition from other lists have drawn voters away. Candidate slate finalization on September 8 produced little shift in these trends, with multiple surveys from early September confirming the pro-Netanyahu bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority while Likud itself trails or ties newer opposition contenders. These patterns underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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