Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary in March, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Jackson aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$54,773 Обс.
$54,773 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
3%
$54,773 Обс.
$54,773 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,079 Обс.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary in March, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Jackson aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,773Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary in March, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Jackson aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$54,773Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary in March, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Jackson aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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