Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southern Illinois, including areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured over 74 percent of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bost, a five-term representative and chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising, and unopposed primary status. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and scientist, has focused on healthcare affordability and accountability but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers typical of the district. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$25,215 Обс.
$25,215 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Bost (R)
97%
Julie Fortier (D)
3%
$25,215 Обс.
$25,215 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Bost (R)
$14,063 Обс.
97%
Julie Fortier (D)
$11,152 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southern Illinois, including areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured over 74 percent of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bost, a five-term representative and chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising, and unopposed primary status. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and scientist, has focused on healthcare affordability and accountability but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers typical of the district. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,215Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southern Illinois, including areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured over 74 percent of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bost, a five-term representative and chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising, and unopposed primary status. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and scientist, has focused on healthcare affordability and accountability but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers typical of the district. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$25,215Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southern Illinois, including areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured over 74 percent of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bost, a five-term representative and chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising, and unopposed primary status. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and scientist, has focused on healthcare affordability and accountability but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers typical of the district. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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