Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 63% implied probability, ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 36.5%, with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polling released on September 21 shows Cheng at 35.1% support versus Hsu at 28.7%, reversing an earlier narrow edge for Hsu and reflecting stronger backing in populous Zhubei City. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the Zhubei mayoral contest has shifted Taiwan People’s Party voters toward Cheng, limiting opposition consolidation ahead of the November 28 vote. Cheng’s nomination by the DPP in June, backed by President Lai Ching-te, and his record as Zhubei mayor contrast with Hsu’s primary win in March and geographic advantages outside the county’s largest city. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the primary drivers of current positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCheng Chao-fang 63%
Hsu Hsin-ying 37%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
$14,752 Обс.
$14,752 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Cheng Chao-fang
63%
Hsu Hsin-ying
37%
Lin Szu-ming
<1%
Chen Chien-hsien
<1%
Cheng Chao-fang 63%
Hsu Hsin-ying 37%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
$14,752 Обс.
$14,752 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Cheng Chao-fang
$7,341 Обс.
63%
Hsu Hsin-ying
$5,580 Обс.
37%
Lin Szu-ming
$1,073 Обс.
<1%
Chen Chien-hsien
$757 Обс.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 63% implied probability, ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 36.5%, with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polling released on September 21 shows Cheng at 35.1% support versus Hsu at 28.7%, reversing an earlier narrow edge for Hsu and reflecting stronger backing in populous Zhubei City. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the Zhubei mayoral contest has shifted Taiwan People’s Party voters toward Cheng, limiting opposition consolidation ahead of the November 28 vote. Cheng’s nomination by the DPP in June, backed by President Lai Ching-te, and his record as Zhubei mayor contrast with Hsu’s primary win in March and geographic advantages outside the county’s largest city. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the primary drivers of current positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,752Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 63% implied probability, ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 36.5%, with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polling released on September 21 shows Cheng at 35.1% support versus Hsu at 28.7%, reversing an earlier narrow edge for Hsu and reflecting stronger backing in populous Zhubei City. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the Zhubei mayoral contest has shifted Taiwan People’s Party voters toward Cheng, limiting opposition consolidation ahead of the November 28 vote. Cheng’s nomination by the DPP in June, backed by President Lai Ching-te, and his record as Zhubei mayor contrast with Hsu’s primary win in March and geographic advantages outside the county’s largest city. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the primary drivers of current positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$14,752Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 63% implied probability, ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 36.5%, with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polling released on September 21 shows Cheng at 35.1% support versus Hsu at 28.7%, reversing an earlier narrow edge for Hsu and reflecting stronger backing in populous Zhubei City. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the Zhubei mayoral contest has shifted Taiwan People’s Party voters toward Cheng, limiting opposition consolidation ahead of the November 28 vote. Cheng’s nomination by the DPP in June, backed by President Lai Ching-te, and his record as Zhubei mayor contrast with Hsu’s primary win in March and geographic advantages outside the county’s largest city. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the primary drivers of current positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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