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icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Політика·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Політика·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<35 98.4%

85+ 2.1%

35–44 1.3%

65–74 <1%

Polymarket

$136,560 Обс.

<35 98.4%

85+ 2.1%

35–44 1.3%

65–74 <1%

Polymarket

$136,560 Обс.

<35

$33,849 Обс.

98%

35–44

$29,462 Обс.

1%

45–54

$22,908 Обс.

1%

55–64

$14,040 Обс.

<1%

65–74

$13,552 Обс.

1%

75–84

$9,273 Обс.

<1%

85+

$13,475 Обс.

2%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a Kremlin-aligned party focused on business-friendly and moderate liberal positions, enters the 2026 State Duma election with limited structural advantages in Russia's parallel voting system. Preliminary results show the party at roughly 8% on party lists after the September 18-20 vote, building on its 2021 debut of 5.3% and 13 seats but falling short of broader polling spikes earlier in the year tied to criticism of internet restrictions. The 5% threshold, competition in single-mandate districts, and administrative dominance by United Russia constrain gains, keeping trader consensus heavily on under 35 total seats. Modest upside from Yabloko's exclusion or electronic voting patterns has not altered this outlook. Late shifts in final protocols or stronger constituency results remain the main variables that could push totals higher.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$136,560
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a Kremlin-aligned party focused on business-friendly and moderate liberal positions, enters the 2026 State Duma election with limited structural advantages in Russia's parallel voting system. Preliminary results show the party at roughly 8% on party lists after the September 18-20 vote, building on its 2021 debut of 5.3% and 13 seats but falling short of broader polling spikes earlier in the year tied to criticism of internet restrictions. The 5% threshold, competition in single-mandate districts, and administrative dominance by United Russia constrain gains, keeping trader consensus heavily on under 35 total seats. Modest upside from Yabloko's exclusion or electronic voting patterns has not altered this outlook. Late shifts in final protocols or stronger constituency results remain the main variables that could push totals higher.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$136,560
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

74%
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Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

100%
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Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

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Часті запитання

«How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<35» з 98%, далі «35–44» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?» згенерував $136.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — «<35» з 98%. Наступний — «35–44» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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