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icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Alexandre Leduc 81%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 15%

Janny Gaspard 3.1%

Béatrice Hodonou <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Alexandre Leduc 81%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 15%

Janny Gaspard 3.1%

Béatrice Hodonou <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$1,834 Обс.

81%

icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$2,348 Обс.

15%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$492 Обс.

3%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$795 Обс.

1%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$396 Обс.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire holds the strongest position in the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** As the incumbent since 2018, Leduc secured roughly 51% of the vote in 2022 on redistributed boundaries, establishing a durable base in this Montreal district. Traders price him at 75% implied probability, reflecting his local visibility through participatory budgeting, support for housing cooperatives, and community projects that have reinforced QS ties in the riding. Competing candidates trail significantly. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (Parti Québécois) sits at 15.5%, Janny Gaspard (Liberal) at 4.3%, and others including Béatrice Hodonou (CAQ) and Elena Penta (Conservative) below 1%. Recent polling aggregates and projections show a tight QS-PQ contest in the low-to-mid 30s, yet the market assigns Leduc a clear edge consistent with historical QS performance in east-end Montreal seats and the absence of major late shifts in candidate announcements or local dynamics. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no reported disruptions to the field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$5,866
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire holds the strongest position in the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** As the incumbent since 2018, Leduc secured roughly 51% of the vote in 2022 on redistributed boundaries, establishing a durable base in this Montreal district. Traders price him at 75% implied probability, reflecting his local visibility through participatory budgeting, support for housing cooperatives, and community projects that have reinforced QS ties in the riding. Competing candidates trail significantly. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (Parti Québécois) sits at 15.5%, Janny Gaspard (Liberal) at 4.3%, and others including Béatrice Hodonou (CAQ) and Elena Penta (Conservative) below 1%. Recent polling aggregates and projections show a tight QS-PQ contest in the low-to-mid 30s, yet the market assigns Leduc a clear edge consistent with historical QS performance in east-end Montreal seats and the absence of major late shifts in candidate announcements or local dynamics. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no reported disruptions to the field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$5,866
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Alexandre Leduc» з 81%, далі «Maude Brossard-Sabourin» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Alexandre Leduc» з 81%. Наступний — «Maude Brossard-Sabourin» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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