Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will reach a daily maximum near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal solar heating, well below the long-term September 10 average high of 20.5°C. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C while assigning very low odds to outcomes above 20°C or below 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the extent of afternoon cloud cover, which limits surface warming, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point levels that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 45%
18°C 38%
17°C 10%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
$23,470 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,470 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
38%
19°C
45%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
18°C 38%
17°C 10%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
$23,470 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,470 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$1,260 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,722 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$287 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$498 Обс.
2%
17°C
$3,922 Обс.
10%
18°C
$3,109 Обс.
38%
19°C
$4,684 Обс.
45%
20°C
$4,451 Обс.
9%
21°C
$2,289 Обс.
2%
22°C
$501 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$745 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will reach a daily maximum near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal solar heating, well below the long-term September 10 average high of 20.5°C. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C while assigning very low odds to outcomes above 20°C or below 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the extent of afternoon cloud cover, which limits surface warming, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point levels that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,470Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will reach a daily maximum near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal solar heating, well below the long-term September 10 average high of 20.5°C. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C while assigning very low odds to outcomes above 20°C or below 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the extent of afternoon cloud cover, which limits surface warming, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point levels that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,470Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will reach a daily maximum near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal solar heating, well below the long-term September 10 average high of 20.5°C. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C while assigning very low odds to outcomes above 20°C or below 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the extent of afternoon cloud cover, which limits surface warming, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point levels that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання