Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 11?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 11?
37°C 45%
38°C or higher 28%
36°C 24%
35°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
45%
38°C or higher
28%
37°C 45%
38°C or higher 28%
36°C 24%
35°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$345 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$265 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$265 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$220 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$92 Обс.
1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
2%
34°C
$65 Обс.
3%
35°C
$54 Обс.
5%
36°C
$215 Обс.
24%
37°C
$521 Обс.
45%
38°C or higher
$522 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,564Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,564Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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