The near-certain trader consensus on "No" for Trump leaving the presidency by September 30, 2026, stems from the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or public signals of resignation amid a compressed nine-day window. Standard removal processes require congressional majorities, committee actions, or documented incapacity determinations that historically unfold over months rather than days, while no recent legislative votes, cabinet announcements, or diplomatic crises have triggered such steps. Upcoming calendar items like routine executive actions or scheduled appearances offer little scope for sudden change before the cutoff. Although low-probability events such as acute health developments or unanticipated scandals could theoretically shift conditions, the current lack of verified catalysts aligns with the market's strong implied probability favoring continuity through the end of the month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<1% шанс
$1,338,467 Обс.
$1,338,467 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
<1% шанс
$1,338,467 Обс.
$1,338,467 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus on "No" for Trump leaving the presidency by September 30, 2026, stems from the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or public signals of resignation amid a compressed nine-day window. Standard removal processes require congressional majorities, committee actions, or documented incapacity determinations that historically unfold over months rather than days, while no recent legislative votes, cabinet announcements, or diplomatic crises have triggered such steps. Upcoming calendar items like routine executive actions or scheduled appearances offer little scope for sudden change before the cutoff. Although low-probability events such as acute health developments or unanticipated scandals could theoretically shift conditions, the current lack of verified catalysts aligns with the market's strong implied probability favoring continuity through the end of the month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,338,467Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus on "No" for Trump leaving the presidency by September 30, 2026, stems from the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or public signals of resignation amid a compressed nine-day window. Standard removal processes require congressional majorities, committee actions, or documented incapacity determinations that historically unfold over months rather than days, while no recent legislative votes, cabinet announcements, or diplomatic crises have triggered such steps. Upcoming calendar items like routine executive actions or scheduled appearances offer little scope for sudden change before the cutoff. Although low-probability events such as acute health developments or unanticipated scandals could theoretically shift conditions, the current lack of verified catalysts aligns with the market's strong implied probability favoring continuity through the end of the month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,338,467Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus on "No" for Trump leaving the presidency by September 30, 2026, stems from the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or public signals of resignation amid a compressed nine-day window. Standard removal processes require congressional majorities, committee actions, or documented incapacity determinations that historically unfold over months rather than days, while no recent legislative votes, cabinet announcements, or diplomatic crises have triggered such steps. Upcoming calendar items like routine executive actions or scheduled appearances offer little scope for sudden change before the cutoff. Although low-probability events such as acute health developments or unanticipated scandals could theoretically shift conditions, the current lack of verified catalysts aligns with the market's strong implied probability favoring continuity through the end of the month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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