Paul Gosar’s commanding position in the Arizona 9th congressional district race stems primarily from the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long incumbency since 2010, and substantial fundraising and organizational advantages over challenger Dani Sterbinsky. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, and recent endorsements such as the NRA’s “A” rating have reinforced Gosar’s standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s western Arizona voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$26,327 Обс.
$26,327 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Paul Gosar (R)
95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
4%
$26,327 Обс.
$26,327 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Paul Gosar (R)
$10,243 Обс.
95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
$16,084 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Gosar’s commanding position in the Arizona 9th congressional district race stems primarily from the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long incumbency since 2010, and substantial fundraising and organizational advantages over challenger Dani Sterbinsky. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, and recent endorsements such as the NRA’s “A” rating have reinforced Gosar’s standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s western Arizona voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,327Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Gosar’s commanding position in the Arizona 9th congressional district race stems primarily from the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long incumbency since 2010, and substantial fundraising and organizational advantages over challenger Dani Sterbinsky. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, and recent endorsements such as the NRA’s “A” rating have reinforced Gosar’s standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s western Arizona voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,327Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Paul Gosar’s commanding position in the Arizona 9th congressional district race stems primarily from the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long incumbency since 2010, and substantial fundraising and organizational advantages over challenger Dani Sterbinsky. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, and recent endorsements such as the NRA’s “A” rating have reinforced Gosar’s standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s western Arizona voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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